Jeff's Grade 1 Caesars Belmont Derby Selection
Saturday, July 9th, 2022 @ 5:12 PM E
Belmont Park Race 9 (5:12 PM E)
We like #10 Nations Pride (5/1) across-the-board quite a bit. This 3-year old colt, owned & bred by Godolphin, has finished first or second in five of six career starts. Nations Pride finished 8th, in a "salty" field of 17 when running at Epsom Downs in a Group 1 event on June 4th. See what I did there? The 1 1/2 miles was too far and he encountered major traffic trouble. First start in the USA is only a minor concern. Trainer, Charlie Appleby and Godlophin have been together since 2013. I trust that combo with my money. Appleby wins 50% from 18 starters, past two years in all turf routes for an ROI of +98%. Also, Appleby wins 55% from 11 starters when his horse is off 1-2 months, for an ROI of +115%. I was hoping for 8/1 on the ML, but the track handicapper is very sharp. There is a 50% chance of showers in the morning. A softer turf course makes this selection even stronger. Fire Away!
Good Luck and Stay Safe!